NFL Picks Against The Spread - Free Football Picks | Pickswise (2024)

FAQs

How do you pick against the spread in the NFL? ›

How Do You Pick Against The Spread In The NFL? To bet against the spread in the NFL you are either betting the favorite to win by x number of points or the underdog to win, or lose by fewer than x points.

“Against the spread” refers to betting on a team to perform better than the point spread set by the sportsbook. They must either win by a margin greater than the spread (for favorites) or lose by fewer points than the spread (for underdogs) for the bet to be successful.

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As we explained with moneyline betting, a negative (-) number of points indicates the favorite and a positive (+) number of points indicates the underdog. To “cover the spread,” favorites must win by more points than the spread, while underdogs must not lose by more points than indicated.

In ATS betting, the bookmaker sets a point spread to create an equal betting market for both teams. If you bet on the favorite, they must win by more than the spread (cover the spread) for you to win. If you bet on the underdog, they must either win outright or lose by less than the spread.

To cover the spread, a bettor must either bet on the favorite or the underdog, and to win their wager, the team must cover the point spread—or, win by more than the point spread. Betting the point spread is one of the most popular sports betting methods, along with money line bets, and over/under (total) bets.

Ultimately, a push is a pretty simple concept. It occurs when your bet is a “tie”—in other words, you neither win nor lose. This can happen in nearly every type of bet, including spread bets, totals, and player props. Whenever a push occurs, you are given back your initial stake from the sportsbook.

The break even winning percentage of a profitable sports bettor is typically 52.4%. Meaning that you need a win rate of more than 52.4% of your bets in order to make a profit (assuming -110 odds). There are some exceptions though, that often seem to slip people's attention.

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EaglePredict is the best football prediction site in the world with over 89.9% accuracy rate in our football betting tips.

At EaglePredict, the best soccer prediction site we provide you with games with high assurance rate after making detailed research and in-depth analysis of each match and also considering other factors like the history, challenge of the match, the team's current form, playing conditions and other factors that might ...

According to the NFL, the Digital Athlete gathers data from a range of sources, including game day data from the Next Generation Stats System (NGS), which uses AWS to “capture real-time location, speed, and acceleration data for every player, on every play, on every inch of the field.”

For the coming seasons, Hawk-Eye and the NFL will collaborate in the development of a next-generation officiating technology leveraging Hawk-Eye's state-of-art line-to-gain optical tracking technology to review and make critical ruling on plays, helping to achieve the highest level of integrity for the game.

Skycam is a computer-controlled, stabilized, cable-suspended camera system. The system is maneuvered through three dimensions in the open space over a playing area of a stadium or arena by computer-controlled cable-drive system.

The stronger team or player will be favored by a certain number of points, depending on the perceived gap in ability between the two teams. The final margin of victory determines whether a team covers the spread, affecting betting outcomes and scenarios like pushes. A minus sign (-) means that team is the favorite.

A +7 spread is very commonly seen in the NFL due to the scoring of a touchdown and a successful extra point. If the spread is set at +7, the underdog must either win the game outright or lose by fewer than seven points in order to cover. For the favorite to cover, they must win by more than seven points.

Covering the spread simply means beating the spread line. So, if a team is -12 on the spread, they will cover it if they win the game by 13pts or more. Similarly, if the underdog is +12 on the spread, they need to lose by no more than 11pts.